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The Egyptian Revolution. A popular uprising that started on January 25, 2011 in Egypt led to the 2011 Egyptian Revolution. Polls show that about 69% of American adults followed the news about the political crisis and demonstrations in Egypt closely during the first couple weeks following the start of the uprising. Among a random sample of 30 high school students, it was found that only 17 of them followed the news about Egypt closely during this time.66

(a) Write the hypotheses for testing if the proportion of high school students who followed the news about Egypt is different than the proportion of American adults who did.

(b) Calculate the proportion of high schoolers in this sample who followed the news about Egypt closely during this time.

(c) Based on large sample theory, we modeled ˆp using the normal distribution. Why should we be cautious about this approach for these data?

(d) The normal approximation will not be as reliable as a simulation, especially for a sample of this size. Describe how to perform such a simulation and, once you had results, how to estimate the p-value.

(e) Below is a histogram showing the distribution of ˆpsim in 10,000 simulations under the null hypothesis. Estimate the p-value using the plot and determine the conclusion of the hypothesis test.

2197_The Egyptian Revolution.png

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