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1. Indicate the difference ways an individual could forecast his or her weight 10 years from now. Do these methods change based upon whether the individual is 5, 14, 24, or 45 years old? If so why?

2. Provide examples from the field of health services management of phenomena that are probably best forecasted using genius forecasting. Why?

3. Calculate the expected number of infants needing neonatal intensive care in a hospital if the historic rate is 5 per 1000 births and you expect 575 births this year.

4. If the annual death rate from smoking is 154 deaths per 100,000 persons and the annual death rate from firearms is 13.5 deaths per 1000,000 persons, how many death from these causes would you expect in a community of 1 million people?

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