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Q1. Many other probability inequalities exist besides the Markov and Chebyshev's inequalities we saw in Chapter 4. For instance:

Gauss Inequality:

For a unimodal random variable X with mode ν and τ2 = E(X - ν)2, we have:

1268_Figure.png

Vysochanskii-Petunin Inequality:

For a unimodal random variable X, for any arbitrary point α with ξ2 = E(X - α)2, we have:

44_Figure1.png

Compare (i.e. are they tighter/conservative/etc) the bounds obtained from Gauss, Vysochanskii-Petunin and Chebyshev's inequalities for:

(a) a random variable X following the uniform distribution in [0, 1]

(b) a random variable X following N(μ, 1).

Q2. If Z is a standard normal random variable, then

P(|Z| ≥ t) ≤ √(2/π) e-t^2/2/t, for all t > 0.

(a) Prove the above inequality and its companion

P(|Z| ≥ t) ≥ √(2/π) (t/1+t2)e-t^2/2.

Hint: start with working out the P(Z ≥ t).

(b) Compare the above inequality with Chebychev's inequality. You can illustrate the comparison giving specific examples by setting for instance t = 2 or any t of your choice.

Q3. (a) Let X1, . . . , Xn be independent and identically distributed random variables with mean μx and variance σ2X. Similarly let Y1, . . . , Yn be independent and identically distributed random variables with mean μY and variance σ2Y. Show that the distribution of the random varaible

Wn = (X- - Y-) - (μX - μY)/√((σ2X+ σ2Y)/n)

converges to a standard normal distribution as n → ∞.

(b) The social media usage of two UCD students, Walter and Jesse, is to be compared. Walter's usage (in hours) is recorded for nw = 50 randomly selected days and Jesse's usage is recorded for nj = 60 randomly selected days. Assume that σ2W = 0.5 and σ2J = 0.3. Find the probability that the difference in the sample means will be within 0.1 hours of the difference between the population means.

Hint: The result shown in part (a) also holds when the sample sizes are unequal:

((X- - Y-) - (μX - μY))/√(σ2X/nX + σ2Y/nY) ∼ N(0, 1) as nX, nY → ∞

(c) If nW = nJ = n, find the smallest sample size n which will allow the difference between the sample means to be within 0.1 hours of the difference between the population means with probability greater than 0.9.

Q4. Let X1, . . . , Xn be iid random variables with probability density function

fX(x) = θxθ-1, 0 ≤ x ≤ 1  0 < θ < ∞

 (a) Find the method of moments estimator for θ.

(b) Find the maximum likelihood estimator for θ.

Engineering Mathematics, Engineering

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