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In Problem use (a) a probability tree and (b) Bayes' formula to find the probabilities.

What is the probability that the urn selected was urn III if the coin selected was silver?

In Problem use (a) a probability tree and (b) Bayes' formula to find the probabilities.

There are 3 urns containing coins. Urn I contains 3 gold coins, urn II contains 1 gold coin and 1 silver coin, and urn III contains 2 silver coins. An urn is selected and a coin is drawn from the urn. If the selected coin is gold, what is the probability that the urn selected was urn I?

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