MGT 251. Planning and Control
Project to Arrange for Conference
Questions:
- The table for this assignment provides best case, most typical case, and worse case estimates of task duration for each task. Using the PERT Beta distribution formulas, compute the expected time for achieving each task and its standard deviation.
- How long will the project take to carry out?
- What is the standard deviation of the critical path?
- What is project duration when 1s (standard deviation) is added? 2s? (Note that when dealing with normal distributions, about 68% of observations lie within ±1 s and about 95% of observations lie within ±2s. We do not have a normal distribution in this case. We are working with a PERT Beta distribution that is not fully symmetric. Still, using an assumption of normality, we can get a very rough sense of the probability that a project will slip its schedule by 1s or 2s.)
- Identify latest start, earliest start, and float times for each of the tasks in this project.
|
|
Expected duration
|
Latest Start
|
Earliest Start
|
Float
|
|
ID speaker topics
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contact speakers
|
|
|
|
|
|
Select hotel
|
|
|
|
|
|
Arrange hotel accommodations
|
|
|
|
|
|
Arrange catering
|
|
|
|
|
|
Develop brochure
|
|
|
|
|
|
Print and mail brochure
|
|
|
|
|
|
Develop exhibit material
|
|
|
|
|
|
Develop workbook
|
|
|
|
|
|
Print and bind workbook
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final set-up for conference
|
|
|
|
|