Assignment 1

A ski repair shop at a resort in Colorado sells replacement poles each season. The shop needs to develop a forecast of next season's sales so that they can place an order for poles with their supplier well in advance of the beginning of the season. Sales data for the past five years are shown below. Compare the forecasts given by the following models.

Year:               1       2     3     4      5
Sales (units): 350   375  355  375  390

Develop forecasts using:

a. A 5 year moving average.
b. A weighted moving average model with weights of 0.2, 0.2, 0.1, 0.3, and 0.2 for years 1 through 5 respectively.
c. An exponential smoothing model with year 1 forecast of 380 and α= 0.3.

Assignment 2

Togo makes riding lawn mowers and tractors. The company's expected quarterly demand is given below in the chart. The company will have 300 mowers in inventory at the beginning of the month and desires to maintain at least that number at the end of each month. Below is other critical data:

Production cost per unit = $225
Inventory Carrying cost per quarter per unit = $50 (based on ending inventory)
Hiring Cost per worker = $450
Firing cost per worker = $800
Beginning # of workers = 50

Each worker can produce 110 units per quarter

Complete the tables and calculate the cost of the two plans

LEVEL Plan

CHASE PLAN

Assignment 3

Calculate the processing load, available capacity, and develop the load profile for the stereo speaker subassembly. Two employees work the assembly process for 40 hours each.

a. Complete the load chart
b. Prepare a load profile chart from this data.
c. As the planner, what concerns do you have and what changes would you make if any?