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Advanced Aviation Economics- Problem Set

1. If the price for some good increases by 10% and the quantity demanded falls by 5%, (a) what is the price elasticity of demand, and (b) is this elastic or inelastic?

2. Last year the US low-cost-carrier Spirit Airlines entered the Dallas-Chicago market. The average ticket price for all airlines servicing the route fell from $200 to $180. After Spirit's entry, the number of passengers increased from 700 to 800 per day (these number are hypothetical, but reasonable). Calculate the price elasticity of demand between these two points. Show the computation.

3. An airline consulting firm as determined that the income elasticity for leisure air travel in China is 1.5. If incomes increase by 5% next year, what is the percentage change in leisure passengers expected next year? Show the computation.

4. The state operates a toll road which currently charges $1.00 per car with 100,000 cars using the road daily. The state wishes to raise an additional $10,000 per day for road maintenance. A newly hired financial analyst proposes raising the toll to $1.10 per car. The analyst reports to you. Will you accept and forward her recommendation to your boss?

5. The demand curve for a product is given by Qdx = 1,000 - 2Px +.02Pz where Pz = $400. (Hint: If you're not comfortable with the calculus alternatives, compute Q at the given prices, then again with a 1% increase in price. Then figure percentage change in Q over the percentage change in P, %?Q/%?P).

a. What is the own price elasticity of demand when Px = $154? Is the demand elastic or inelastic? What would happen to the firm's revenue if it decided to charge a price below $154?

b. What is the own price elasticity of demand when Px = $354? Is the demand elastic or inelastic? What would happen to the firm's revenue if it decided to charge a price below $354?

c. What is the cross-price elasticity of demand between good X and good Z when Px = $154? Are good X and good Z substitutes are complements?

6. The dataset shows US Gross Domestic Product (in billions of dollars) and Domestic Revenue Passenger Miles (in billions) for the years 2000 through 2015. Below this table is the MS Excel Summary Output regressing RPMs against GDP. Using MS Excel or another similar application, build a scatter plot and insert the regression line and equation. Next, interpret the regression output and explain the regression statistics. Be certain that the regression coefficients match those in the scatter plot equation. Finally, use the regression equation to predict RPMs for 2016 and 2017 assuming GDP grows by 2% each year from 2015. Note: To build a scatter plot in Excel, select and copy the GDP and RPM data into Excel; select the data in Excel, then use Insert/Scatter to create a scatter plot. Finally, scroll down Chart Layout to select the format that creates a regression line and formula. Use the Excel Help function as needed.

Year

GDP

RPM

0

12679.3

692.8

2001

12705.3

651.7

2002

12964

642.4

2003

13528.7

657.3

2004

13950.4

734

2005

14373.4

779

2006

14716.9

797.4

2007

14991.8

829.4

2008

14577

812.4

2009

14541.9

769.4

2010

14939

798

2011

15190.3

814

2012

15384.3

823.2

2013

15793.9

840.4

2014

16186.7

862.1

2015

16490.7

902.4

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