(Answered) You work in an important and visible position in government

Management Studies

You work in an important and visible position in government. Your decision is to choose between two courses, one may be negative for sustainability. If this probability is extremely unlikely, but if it happens it would get into the newspapers and on TV. Before making the decision, you suggest that it is "pretty unlikely" to your team. They agree describing it to be "not very probable". What psychological error is occurring?

Prudential trap
Outguessing randomness trap
Uncertainty trap
Risk trap
Prudence trap

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Business Management, Management Studies

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