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Using the forecasting results from Exercise 2.2, calculate and graph tracking signal for four- period and six- period forecasts.
Exercise :
Patient days in a hospital were recorded as shown in Table EX 2.2 .

1018_Table.png

a. Predict naïve forecasts of patient days for February and June.

b. Predict the patient days for January, using a four - period moving average.

c. Predict the patient days for January, using the six - period moving average.

d. Plot the actual data and the results of the four - period and the six - period moving averages. Which method is a better predictor?

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