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The population of South Winslet is 358,000. Assume the following physician distribution by specialty in the community (Table 15-6). Assume that one half of physicians retire at the age of 65 and all physicians retire at age 70. How many physicians, by specialty will we must recruit in 5 years? Ten years?

Specialty Number of Physicians Aged 60–65

General Practice 90 18

Pediatrics 38 6

General Surgery 41 2

OB/GYN 50 6

Assume the following target ratio of physicians per 100,000 people

Specialty Target Physician Ratio per 100,000

General Practice 31

Pediatrics 18

General Surgery 13

OB/GYN 14

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