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The ability to scale up renewable energy, and in particular wind power and speed, is dependent on the ability to forecast its short term availability. Soman et al. (2010) describe different methods for wind power forecasting (the quote is slightly edited for brevity.

persistance method: this method is also known as 'naive predictor' it is assumed that the wind speed at time...

Physical approach: physical systems use parameterizations based on a detailed....

Statistical approach: the statistical approach is based on training with measurement data and uses difference between the predicted and the actual wind speeds.....

hybrid approach: in genera; the combination of different approaches such as mixing physical and statistical approaches or combining short term and medium term models....

(a) for each of the four types of methods, describe whether it is model-based, data-driven, or a combination.

(b) for each of the four types of methods, describe whether it is based on extrapolation, casual modeling, correlation modeling, or a combination.

(c) describe the advantages and disadvantages of the hybrid approach.

Operation Management, Management Studies

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