Question :1

Identifying Wild Cards

September 11th, Hurricane Katrina, Ebola, the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami, and the Haiti earthquake are all examples of wild card events. These are just a few; there are many examples of wild card events in world history. How can you prepare for the unpredictable? Is it even possible to prepare for something of large magnitude? When you reflect on these events, was there anything you might have handled differently?

For this Group Wiki, reflect on the examples of wild card events depicted in the Learning Resources. Consider the elements of unpredictability that created the results of these events. Consider events in history you see as most unpredictable.

To complete:

In the Group Wiki, write by Day 5 your description of events in history you think were the most unpredictable. Explain why. Explain whether leaders could have done anything to prepare for such an event. Why, or why not? Describe events in history you believe were predictable but the warning signs were ignored due to blind spots or a lack of imagination. Explain what leaders might have done to be better prepared for such an event.

Writing a Wild Card Scenario

In Week 6, you looked at trends and driving forces that may have an impact on your organization in the long term. For this Assignment, review the data collected from previous weeks, and continue to do research using the Internet, databases, government reports, newspaper articles, and other sources.

For this Assignment, consider trends and driving forces. Explain which are the most important and likely to have the most impact, as well as which are the least predictable and would have the most negative impact on your organization.

Finally, stretch your imagination and build one wild card scenario that may impact your organization in 10 years by looking at the data and information on the organization's risks and vulnerabilities.

Use the nonprofit or government organization you have selected for your Final Project, and provide the following:

Summarize which trends and driving forces are the most important and will have the most impact on your organization in 10 years. Are any of these inevitable or pre-determined?

Summarize which forces are least predictable and would have the most negative impact on your organization.

Explain an unpredictable event that may have a significant positive impact on your organization in 10 years and in 20 years.

Imagine your organization in 2025 and write a 1-page wild card scenario for your organization by looking at its risks and vulnerabilities.

The Assignment should follow APA 6th edition guidelines:
Title page
Running head
Introduction and Conclusion
Level 1 headings to define sections
3-5 pages in length, double spaced, 12 pt Times Roman font
3-5 references cited in the text and a reference list