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Problem

After plotting demand for four periods, an emergency room manager has concluded that a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing model is appropriate to predict future demand.

The initial estimate of trend is based on the net change of 30 for the three periods from 1 to 4, for an average of +10 units.

Period	Actual	Period	Actual
1	209	6	270
2	225	7	278
3	227	8	287
4	239	9	292
5	255	10

Use a=.5 and ß=.1, and TAF of 250 for period 5. Obtain forecasts for periods 6 through 10. (Round your intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.)

t Period	TAF_t
6
7
8
9
10

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Operation Management, Management Studies

Category:- Operation Management
Reference No.:- M92759283

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