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Learning Outcomes

1. Interpret and successfully apply economic concepts of supply and demand for effective organisational problem solving.

2. Apply quantitative methods to forecast complex business variables including demand, supply, production and costs.

3. Critically analyse production processes and cost functions and classify the main forms of market structures as well as recommend appropriate pricing and strategies.

4. Critically evaluate the role and impact of various forms of government intervention in the economy including the implications of competition and deregulation policy for managerial practices.

Instructions:

Schmeckt Gut plans the market launch for the Schmeckt Besser energy bar in Atollia within the next couple of months. The Research Department of Schmeckt Gut has conducted a market analysis of Atollia. The results are provided for you in the supplied EXCEL file.

Based on international sources, the Research Department is comfortable in working with the following scenarios on the future development of average income in Atollia, the inflation rate development and tariff rates on imports from Industria:
- Income growth: 1% increase or 3% increase or 5% increase or 7% increase
- Inflation rate development: 2% increase or 3% increase or 4% increase or 5% increase
- Tariffs on imports from Industria: 7.5% or 10% or 5% or free trade

Note: These developments are not necessarily matched to each other in the sequence shown above; meaning that we do not know if the 1% increase in income is associated with a 2% increase in inflation rate and a 7.5% tariff rate.

Your task:

Your task is to write a 3,000-word report addressed to the Board of Directors of Schmeckt Gut in which you address the following:

- Do you think you can match the different projections? That is, do you think that a 5% increase in income is associated with a 10% tariff rate and a 2% inflation rate? Explain by linking your discussion to the following concepts:
o supply and demand
o aggregated demand and aggregated supply
o the Philipps Curve, and
o the Laffer curve.

- What impact would the different predictions of income development, inflation rate development and tariff rate development have on the potential demand of Schmeckt Gut? Conduct a multiple regression analysis using data in the supplied Excel file and then interpret the results. Fully discuss and explain their implications.

- Make recommendations as to what the Board of Directors should do under each of your scenarios, based on your matching of the predictions.

The precise format of the report will be informed by research undertaken by the student using the Torrens University library. Formal document sections such as executive summary, table of contents and appendices are not counted in the word count. Assume that the prescribed word limit is literally a limit and that the board will reject any report that breaches it.

Year Quarter T Demand Income Tariff Number of  Inflation
2011 Q1 1 260.3297 15500 5 15 2.2
2011 Q2 2 267.9888 15841 5 15 1.88
2011 Q3 3 311.3787 16110.3 5 15 1.26
2011 Q4 4 307.1164 16754.71 5 15 1.22
2012 Q1 5 306.1142 17391.39 5 15 2.93
2012 Q2 6 359.8001 18156.61 5 16 3.04
2012 Q3 7 288.8254 18501.58 5 16 3.17
2012 Q4 8 306.6604 18890.12 5 16 2.41
2013 Q1 9 295.9627 19589.05 10 16 1.35
2013 Q2 10 335.9408 20431.38 10 16 2.17
2013 Q3 11 286.3944 21126.05 10 17 2.93
2013 Q4 12 323.6386 21696.45 10 17 2.58
2014 Q1 13 329.1326 22000.2 10 20 1.45
2014 Q2 14 342.5879 22352.21 10 20 2.59
2014 Q3 15 302.5452 22799.25 10 20 3.65
2014 Q4 16 370.6793 23825.22 7.5 20 1.54
2015 Q1 17 371.3411 24635.27 7.5 20 3.63
2015 Q2 18 445.1766 25423.6 7.5 20 2.22
2015 Q3 19 441.171 26338.85 7.5 23 2.82
2015 Q4 20 446.9891 27471.42 7.5 23 3.26


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