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For each model compute the Mean Absolute Deviation.

(Note: in order to include the same number of measurements for all models, only include years 5 to 11 in your computation.)

Choose the best-fitting model according to the MAD criteria.









year demmand 3 yr avg 4 yr avg exp smoothing Naïve
1 7

6


2 9

6.3
7
3 5

7.11
9
4 9 7
6.477
5
5 13 7.6666 7.5 7.233
9
6 8 9 9 8.96
13
7 12 10 8.75 8.67
8
8 13 11 10.5 9.67
12
9 9 11 11.5 10.6
13
10 11 11.333 10.5 10.19
9
11 7 11 11.25 9.4
11

Operation Management, Management Studies

  • Category:- Operation Management
  • Reference No.:- M92695020

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