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Question 1:

All the following discrete time population models are of the form Nt+1 = f(Nt) and have been taken from the ecological literature and all have been used in modelling real situations. Determine the nonnegative steady states, discuss their linear stability and find the first bifurcation values of the parameters, which are all taken to be positive.

(i) Nt+1 = Nt[1+ r (1 - Nt/K)],

(ii) Nt+1 = rNt1-b,  if Nt > K,
 = rNt, if Nt < K,

(iii) Nt+1 = rNt/(1 + aNt)b

(iv) Nt +1 = rNt/(1 + (Nt/K))b

Question 2 Construct cobweb maps for:

(i) Nt+1 = ((1 + r)Nt)/(1 + rNt)

(ii) Nt+1 = rNt/(1 + aNt)b, a>0, b>0, r>0

and discuss the global qualitative behaviour of the solutions. Determine, where possible, the maximum and minimum Nt, and the minimum for (ii) when b << 1.

Question 3 Verify that an exact solution exists for the logistic difference equation

ut+1 = rut(1 - ut), r > 0

in the form ut = A sin2αt at by determining values for r, A and α. Is the solution (i) periodic? (ii) oscillatory? Describe it! If r > 4 discuss possible solution implications.

Question 4 The population dynamics of a species is governed by the discrete model

Nt+1 = f(Nt) = Ntexp [r (1 - Nt/K)]

where r and K are positive constants. Determine the steady states and their corresponding eigenvalues.

Show that a period-doubling bifurcation occurs at r = 2. Briefly describe qualitatively the dynamic behaviour of the population for r = 2 + ε, where 0 < ε << 1. In the case r > 1 sketch Nt+1 = f(Nt) and show graphically or otherwise that, for it large, the maximum population is given by  Nm = f (K/r) and the minimum possible population by Nm = f (f(K/r). Since a species becomes extinct if Nt ≤ 1 for any t > 1, show that irrespective of the size of r > 1 the species could become extinct if the carrying capacity K < r exp [1 + er-1 -2r].

Question 5

The population of a certain species subjected to a specific kind of predation is modelled by the difference equation

ut+1 = a(ut2/(b2 + ut2), a > 0

Determine the equilibria and show that if a2 > 4b2 it is possible for the population to be driven to extinction if it becomes less than a critical size which you should find.

Question 6 It has been suggested that a means of controlling insect numbers is to introduce and maintain a number of sterile insects in the population. One such model for the resulting population dynamics is

Nt+1 = RNt2/((R - 1)Nt2/M + Nt + S)

where R > 1 and M > 0 are constant parameters, and S is the constant sterile insect population.

Determine the steady states and discuss their linear stability, noting whether any type of bifurcation is possible. Find the critical value Se of the sterile population in terms of R and M so that if S > Sc the insect population is eradicated. Construct a cobweb map and draw a graph of S against the steady state population density, and hence determine the possible solution behaviour if 0 < S < Sc.

Question 7 A discrete model for a population Nt, consists of

Nt+1 = rNt/(1 + bNt2) = f(Nt),

where t is the discrete time and r and b are positive parameters. What do r and b represent in this model? Show, with the help of a cobweb, that after a long time the population Nt is bounded by

Nmin = 2r2/(4 + r2)√b ≤ Nt ≤ r/2√b

Prove that, for any r, the population will become extinct if b > 4.

Determine the steady states and their eigenvalues and hence show that r = 1 is a bifurcation value. Show that, for any finite r, oscillatory solutions for Nt are not possible.

Consider a delay version of the model given by

Nt+1 = rNt/(1 + bNt-12) = f(Nt), r > 1

Investigate the linear stability about the positive steady state N* by setting Nt = N* + nt. Show that n1 satisfies

nt+1 - nt + 2(r -1)r-1nt-1 = 0

Hence show that r = 2 is a bifurcation value and that as r → 2 the steady state bifurcates to a periodic solution of period 6.

Question 8 A basic delay model used by the International Whaling Commission (IWC) for montioring whale populations is

ut+1 = Sut + R(ut-T), 0 < s < 0,

where T ≥ 1 is an integer.

(1) If u* is a positive equilibrium show that a sufficient condition for linear stability is |R'(u*)| < 1 - s. [Hint: Use Rancho's theorem on the resulting character¬istic polynomial for small perturbations about u*.]

(ii) If R(u) = (1 - s)u[1 + q(1 - u)], q > 0 and the delay T = 1, show that the equilibrium state is stable for all 0 < q < 2. [With this model, T is the time from birth to sexual maturity, s is a survival parameter and R(ut - T) the recruitment to the adult population from those born T years ago.]

Question 9 Consider the effect of regularly harvesting the population of a species for which the model equation is

ut+1 = but2/(1 + ut2) - Eut = f(ut; E), b > 2, E > 0,

where E is a measure of the effort expended in obtaining the harvest, Eut,. [This model with E = 0 is a special case of that in Exercise 5.]

Determine the steady states and hence show that if the effort E > Em = (b - 2)/2, no harvest is obtained. If E < Em show, by cobwebbing ut+1 = f (ut; E) or otherwise, that the model is realistic only if the population ut always lies between two positive values which you should determine analytically.

With E < Em evaluate the eigenvalue of the largest positive steady state. Demonstrate that a tangent bifurcation exists as E → Em.

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