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a) A manufacturer of snow chain is considering building a new production plant to cope with growing demand. A tyre firm is interested in investing in the company and has been provided with the following quarterly sales figures:

Unit Sales: 1997-2000 (000s)

Year   Q1     Q2         Q3        Q4

1      441.1    397.7    396.1    472.8

2      476.4   454.4     450.8    553.5

3      580.7    573.2     571.6   703.6

4      692.0    676.5     659.9   752,8

1. Calculate the trend line using the moving average method.

2. Estimate and then eliminate the season variation component. In other words find the deseasonalised data.

 

 

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