Ask Homework Help/Study Tips Expert

1. A local real estate investor in Orlando is considering three alternative investments: a motel, a restaurant, or a theater. Profits from the motel or restaurant will be affected by the availability of gasoline and the number of tourists; profits from the theater will be relatively stable under any conditions. The following payoff table shows the profit or loss that could result from each investment:

Gasoline Availability

Investment Shortage Stable Supply Surplus

Motel $-8,000 $15,000 $20,000

Restaurant 2,000 8,000 6,000

Theater 6,000 6,000 5,000

Determine the best investment, using the following decision criteria.

a. Maximax

b. Maximin

c. Minimax regret

d. Hurwicz (α = 0.4)

e. Equal likelihood

2. A concessions manager at the Tech versus A&M football game must decide whether to have the vendors sell sun visors or umbrellas. There is a 30% chance of rain, a 15% chance of overcast skies, and a 55% chance of sunshine, according to the weather forecast in College Junction, where the game is to be held. The manager estimates that the following profits will result from each decision, given each set of weather conditions:

Weather Conditions

Decision Rain Overcast Sunshine

.30 .15 .55

Sun visors $-500 $-200 $1,500

Umbrellas 2,000 0 -900

a. Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one.

b. Develop the opportunity loss table and compute the expected opportunity loss for each decision.

3. In Problem 13 the Place-Plus real estate development firm has hired an economist to assign a probability to each direction interest rates may take over the next 5 years. The economist has determined that there is a .50 probability that interest rates will decline, a .40 probability that rates will remain stable, and a .10 probability that rates will increase.

a. Using expected value, determine the best project.

b. Determine the expected value of perfect information.

Reference Problem 13: Place-Plus, a real estate development firm, is considering several alternative development projects. These include building and leasing an office park, purchasing a parcel of land and building an office building to rent, buying and leasing a warehouse, building a strip mall, and building and selling condominiums. The financial success of these projects depends on interest rate movement in the next 5 years. The various development projects and their 5-year financial return (in $1,000,000s) given that interest rates will decline, remain stable, or increase, are shown in the following payoff table:

Interest Rate

Project Decline Stable Increase

Office park $0.5 $1.7 $4.5

Office building 1.5 1.9 2.5

Warehouse 1.7 1.4 1.0

Mall 0.7 2.4 3.6

Condominiums 3.2 1.5 0.6

4. The director of career advising at Orange Community College wants to use decision analysis to provide information to help students decide which 2-year degree program they should pursue. The director has set up the following payoff table for six of the most popular and successful degree programs at OCC that shows the estimated 5-year gross income ($) from each degree for four future economic conditions:

Economic Conditions

Degree Program Recession Average Good Robust

Graphic design 145,000 175,000 220,000 260,000

Nursing 150,000 180,000 205,000 215,000

Real estate 115,000 165,000 220,000 320,000

Medical technology 130,000 180,000 210,000 280,000

Culinary technology 115,000 145,000 235,000 305,000

Computer information technology 125,000 150,000 190,000 250,000

Determine the best degree program in terms of projected income, using the following decision criteria:

a. Maximax

b. Maximin

c. Equal likelihood

d. Hurwicz (α = 0.50)

5. Construct a decision tree for the decision situation described in Problem 25 and indicate the best decision.

Reference Problem 25: Fenton and Farrah Friendly, husband-and-wife car dealers, are soon going to open a new dealership. They have three offers: from a foreign compact car company, from a U.S. producer of full-sized cars, and from a truck company. The success of each type of dealership will depend on how much gasoline is going to be available during the next few years. The profit from each type of dealership, given the availability of gas, is shown in the following payoff table:

Gasoline Availability

Dealership Shortage Surplus

.6 .4

Compact cars $ 300,000 $150,000

Full-sized cars -100,000 600,000

Trucks 120,000 170,000

Decision Tree diagram to complete

Homework Help/Study Tips, Others

  • Category:- Homework Help/Study Tips
  • Reference No.:- M9788390

Have any Question?


Related Questions in Homework Help/Study Tips

Review the website airmail service from the smithsonian

Review the website Airmail Service from the Smithsonian National Postal Museum that is dedicated to the history of the U.S. Air Mail Service. Go to the Airmail in America link and explore the additional tabs along the le ...

Read the article frank whittle and the race for the jet

Read the article Frank Whittle and the Race for the Jet from "Historynet" describing the historical influences of Sir Frank Whittle and his early work contributions to jet engine technologies. Prepare a presentation high ...

Overviewnow that we have had an introduction to the context

Overview Now that we have had an introduction to the context of Jesus' life and an overview of the Biblical gospels, we are now ready to take a look at the earliest gospel written about Jesus - the Gospel of Mark. In thi ...

Fitness projectstudents will design and implement a six

Fitness Project Students will design and implement a six week long fitness program for a family member, friend or co-worker. The fitness program will be based on concepts discussed in class. Students will provide justifi ...

Read grand canyon collision - the greatest commercial air

Read Grand Canyon Collision - The greatest commercial air tragedy of its day! from doney, which details the circumstances surrounding one of the most prolific aircraft accidents of all time-the June 1956 mid-air collisio ...

Qestion anti-trustprior to completing the assignment

Question: Anti-Trust Prior to completing the assignment, review Chapter 4 of your course text. You are a manager with 5 years of experience and need to write a report for senior management on how your firm can avoid the ...

Question how has the patient and affordable care act of

Question: How has the Patient and Affordable Care Act of 2010 (the "Health Care Reform Act") reshaped financial arrangements between hospitals, physicians, and other providers with Medicare making a single payment for al ...

Plate tectonicsthe learning objectives for chapter 2 and

Plate Tectonics The Learning Objectives for Chapter 2 and this web quest is to learn about and become familiar with: Plate Boundary Types Plate Boundary Interactions Plate Tectonic Map of the World Past Plate Movement an ...

Question critical case for billing amp codingcomplete the

Question: Critical Case for Billing & Coding Complete the Critical Case for Billing & Coding simulation within the LearnScape platform. You will need to create a single Microsoft Word file and save it to your computer. A ...

Review the cba provided in the resources section between

Review the CBA provided in the resources section between the Trustees of Columbia University and Local 2110 International Union of Technical, Office, and Professional Workers. Describe how this is similar to a "contract" ...

  • 4,153,160 Questions Asked
  • 13,132 Experts
  • 2,558,936 Questions Answered

Ask Experts for help!!

Looking for Assignment Help?

Start excelling in your Courses, Get help with Assignment

Write us your full requirement for evaluation and you will receive response within 20 minutes turnaround time.

Ask Now Help with Problems, Get a Best Answer

Why might a bank avoid the use of interest rate swaps even

Why might a bank avoid the use of interest rate swaps, even when the institution is exposed to significant interest rate

Describe the difference between zero coupon bonds and

Describe the difference between zero coupon bonds and coupon bonds. Under what conditions will a coupon bond sell at a p

Compute the present value of an annuity of 880 per year

Compute the present value of an annuity of $ 880 per year for 16 years, given a discount rate of 6 percent per annum. As

Compute the present value of an 1150 payment made in ten

Compute the present value of an $1,150 payment made in ten years when the discount rate is 12 percent. (Do not round int

Compute the present value of an annuity of 699 per year

Compute the present value of an annuity of $ 699 per year for 19 years, given a discount rate of 6 percent per annum. As