Wally Wonders Whether There's a Place for Dividends
Wally Wilson is a commercial artist who makes a good living by doing freelance work - mostly layouts and illustrations - for local ad agencies and major institutional clients (such as large department stores). Wally has been investing in the stock markets for some time, buying mostly high - quality growth stocks as a way to achieve long - term growth and capital appreciation. He feels that the limited time he has to devote to his security holdings, high - quality issues are his best bet. He has become a bit perplexed lately with the market, disturbed that some of his growth stocks aren't doing even as well as many good - grade income shares. He therefore decided to have a chat with his broker, Al Fried.
During their conversation, it becomes clear that both Al and Wally are thinking along the same lines. Al points out that dividend yields on income shares are indeed way up and that, because of the state of the economy, the outlook for growth stocks is not particularly bright. He suggests that Wally seriously consider putting some of his money into income shares to capture the high dividend yields that are available. After all, as Al says, "the bottom line is not so much where the payoff comes from as how much it amounts to!" They then talk about a high - yield public utility stock, Hydro - Electric Light and Power. Al digs up some more forecast information about Hydro - Electric and presents it to Wally for his consideration.
|
Year
|
Expected EPS ($)
|
Expected Divided Payout Ratio (%)
|
|
2013
|
3.25
|
40
|
|
2014
|
3.40
|
40
|
|
2015
|
3.90
|
45
|
|
2016
|
4.40
|
45
|
|
2017
|
5.00
|
45
|
The stock currently trades at $60 per share. Al thinks that within 5 years it should be trading at $75 - $80 a share. Wally realizes that to buy the Hydro - Electric stock, he will have to sell his holdings of CapCo Industries - a highly regarded growth stock that Wally is disenchanted with because of recent substandard performance.
Questions:
1. How would you describe Wally's present investment program? How do you think it fits him and his investment objectives?
2. Consider the Hydro - Electric stock
A. Determine the amount of annual dividends Hydro - Electric can be expected to pay the years 2013 to 2017.
B. Compute the total dollar return that Wally will make from Hydro - Electric if he invests $6,000 in stock and all the dividend and price expectations are realized.
C. If Wally participated in the company's dividend reinvestment plan, how many shares of stock will have by the end of 2017? What will they be worth if the stock trades at $80 on December 31, 2017? Assume that the stock can be purchased through the dividend reinvestment plan at a net price of $50 a share in 2013, $55 in 2014, $60 in 2015, $65 in 2016, and $70 in 2017. Use fractional; shares, to 2 decimals, in your computations. Also assume that, as in part #2, Wally starts with 100 shares of stock and all divided expectations are realized.
3. Would Wally be going to a different investment strategy if he decided to buy shares in Hydro - Electric? If the switch is made, how would you describe his new investment program? What do you think of this new approach? Is it likely to lead to more trading on Wally's behalf? If so, can you reconcile that with the limited amount of time he has to devote to his portfolio?