Ask Question, Ask an Expert

+61-413 786 465

info@mywordsolution.com

Ask Statistics and Probability Expert

Three individuals are seated in a room. Each one of them is wearing a hat, which may be either red or white. Each of them sees the hats worn by the others, but cannot see his own hat (and in particular does not know its color). The true situation is that every person in the room is wearing a red hat.

(a) Depict this situation as a Harsanyi model of incomplete information, where a player's type is the color of his hat, and specify the vector of types corresponding to the true situation.

(b) Depict this situation as an Aumann model of incomplete information, and specify the state of the world corresponding to the true situation.

(c) A stranger enters the room, holding a bell. Once a minute, he rings the bell while saying "If you know that the color of the hat on your head is red, leave this room immediately." Does anyone leave the room after a few rings? Why?

(d) At a certain point in time, the announcer says, "At least one of you is wearing a red hat." He continues to ring the bell once a minute and requesting that those who know their hat to be red to leave. Use the Aumann model of incomplete information to prove that after the third ring, all three hat-wearers will leave the room.

(e) What information did the announcer add by saying that at least one person in the room was wearing a red hat, when this was known to everyone before the announcement was made?

(f) Generalize this result to n individuals (instead of 3).

Statistics and Probability, Statistics

  • Category:- Statistics and Probability
  • Reference No.:- M92086105

Have any Question?


Related Questions in Statistics and Probability

David currently has 500 in an account that earns 10 apr

David currently has $500 in an account that earns 10% APR, compounded monthly. Assuming he doesn't withdraw any of the funds, how much will his balance be in 6 years?

The average price of a television on a certain web site is

The average price of a television on a certain Web site is ?$770. Assume the price of these televisions follows the normal distribution with a standard deviation of ?$170. Complete parts a through d below. a.  What is th ...

A researcher records the following number of birdcalls made

A researcher records the following number of birdcalls made during an experimental session with robins: 8.4 0.9 (M SD). Assuming these data are normally distributed, what is the probability that robins made more than 11 ...

Your client is going to be traveling to las vegas in the

Your client is going to be traveling to Las Vegas in the near future and he wants to place some bets on his favorite professional baseball team. To ensure he knows the odds on his bets he wants to know the probability of ...

Suppose that systolic blood pressure for 35- to

Suppose that systolic blood pressure for 35- to 44-year-olds is normally distributed with mean 125 in mm Hg and standard deviation 10 in mm Hg. What proportion of individuals will have a blood pressure reading between 12 ...

What can a continuum of elements in terms of strategic

What can a continuum of elements in terms of strategic planning mean to performance to small-medium enterprises?

The time spent in days waiting for a heart transplant can

The time spent (in days) waiting for a heart transplant can be approximated by a normal distribution. Day range of 60-200.  u=129 o=20.2.  (a) What is the shortest number of days spent that would put a patient in the top ...

Lee smith imports paid a 100 per share annual dividend last

Lee Smith Imports paid a $1.00 per share annual dividend last week. Dividends are expected to increase by 5% annually. What is one share of this stock worth to you today if the appropriate discount rate is 14%? a. $7.14 ...

A lumber grading system is known to be defective 20 of the

A lumber grading system is known to be defective 20% of the time. Normally, 20% of the lumber that passes through is rejected, but when it is defective, 50% of the pieces are rejected. In either case, pieces that are acc ...

What does the real world evidence say about the law of one

What does the real world evidence say about the law of one price?

  • 4,153,160 Questions Asked
  • 13,132 Experts
  • 2,558,936 Questions Answered

Ask Experts for help!!

Looking for Assignment Help?

Start excelling in your Courses, Get help with Assignment

Write us your full requirement for evaluation and you will receive response within 20 minutes turnaround time.

Ask Now Help with Problems, Get a Best Answer

Why might a bank avoid the use of interest rate swaps even

Why might a bank avoid the use of interest rate swaps, even when the institution is exposed to significant interest rate

Describe the difference between zero coupon bonds and

Describe the difference between zero coupon bonds and coupon bonds. Under what conditions will a coupon bond sell at a p

Compute the present value of an annuity of 880 per year

Compute the present value of an annuity of $ 880 per year for 16 years, given a discount rate of 6 percent per annum. As

Compute the present value of an 1150 payment made in ten

Compute the present value of an $1,150 payment made in ten years when the discount rate is 12 percent. (Do not round int

Compute the present value of an annuity of 699 per year

Compute the present value of an annuity of $ 699 per year for 19 years, given a discount rate of 6 percent per annum. As