Ask Statistics and Probability Expert

The Lake Placid Town Council has decided to build up a new community center to be employed for conventions, concerts, and other public events. But, considerable controversy surrounds proper size. Many influential citizens want the large center that would be the showcase for area. But the mayor feels that if demand doesn't support such a center,the community will lose the large amount of money. To provide structure for decision process, the council narrowed the building alternatives to three sizes: small, medium, and large. Everybody agreed that critical factor in selecting the best size is the number of people who will want to employ the new facility. A regional planning consultant provided demand approximates under three scenarios: worst case, base case, and best case. The worst-case scenario corresponds to the situation in which tourism drops significantly; the base-case scenario corresponds to a situation in which Lake Placid continues to attract visitors at current levels; and best-case scenario corresponds to a significant rise in tourism. The consultant has provided probability assessments of 0.10, 0.60, and 0.30 for worst-case, base-case, and best-case scenarios, respectively.

The town council suggested using net cash flow over five-year planning horizon as the criterion for deciding on the best size. The following projections of net cash flow, in thousands of dollars, for the five-year planning horizon have been developed. All costs, comprising the consultant's fee, have been included. 

 

Worst Case

Base Case

Best Case

Small

400

500

660

Medium

-250

650

800

Large

- 400

580

990

The consultant suggested that the expenditure of $150,000 on promotional campaign over the planning horizon will effectively minimize the probability of worst case scenario to zero. If the campaign can be expected to also to raise the probability of best case scenario to 0.4, is it a good investment.

Statistics and Probability, Statistics

  • Category:- Statistics and Probability
  • Reference No.:- M917753

Have any Question?


Related Questions in Statistics and Probability

Introduction to epidemiology assignment -assignment should

Introduction to Epidemiology Assignment - Assignment should be typed, with adequate space left between questions. Read the following paper, and answer the questions below: Sundquist K., Qvist J. Johansson SE., Sundquist ...

Question 1 many high school students take the ap tests in

Question 1. Many high school students take the AP tests in different subject areas. In 2007, of the 144,796 students who took the biology exam 84,199 of them were female. In that same year,of the 211,693 students who too ...

Basic statisticsactivity 1define the following terms1

BASIC STATISTICS Activity 1 Define the following terms: 1. Statistics 2. Descriptive Statistics 3. Inferential Statistics 4. Population 5. Sample 6. Quantitative Data 7. Discrete Variable 8. Continuous Variable 9. Qualit ...

Question 1below you are given the examination scores of 20

Question 1 Below you are given the examination scores of 20 students (data set also provided in accompanying MS Excel file). 52 99 92 86 84 63 72 76 95 88 92 58 65 79 80 90 75 74 56 99 a. Construct a frequency distributi ...

Question 1 assume you have noted the following prices for

Question: 1. Assume you have noted the following prices for paperback books and the number of pages that each book contains. Develop a least-squares estimated regression line. i. Compute the coefficient of determination ...

Question 1 a sample of 81 account balances of a credit

Question 1: A sample of 81 account balances of a credit company showed an average balance of $1,200 with a standard deviation of $126. 1. Formulate the hypotheses that can be used to determine whether the mean of all acc ...

5 of females smoke cigarettes what is the probability that

5% of females smoke cigarettes. What is the probability that the proportion of smokers in a sample of 865 females would be greater than 3%

Armstrong faber produces a standard number-two pencil

Armstrong Faber produces a standard number-two pencil called Ultra-Lite. The demand for Ultra-Lite has been fairly stable over the past ten years. On average, Armstrong Faber has sold 457,000 pencils each year. Furthermo ...

Sppose a and b are collectively exhaustive in addition pa

Suppose A and B are collectively exhaustive. In addition, P(A) = 0.2 and P(B) = 0.8. Suppose C and D are both mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive. Further, P(C|A) = 0.7 and P(D|B) = 0.5. What are P(C) and P(D) ...

The time to complete 1 construction project for company a

The time to complete 1 construction project for company A is exponentially distributed with a mean of 1 year. Therefore: (a) What is the probability that a project will be finished in one and half years? (b) What is the ...

  • 4,153,160 Questions Asked
  • 13,132 Experts
  • 2,558,936 Questions Answered

Ask Experts for help!!

Looking for Assignment Help?

Start excelling in your Courses, Get help with Assignment

Write us your full requirement for evaluation and you will receive response within 20 minutes turnaround time.

Ask Now Help with Problems, Get a Best Answer

Why might a bank avoid the use of interest rate swaps even

Why might a bank avoid the use of interest rate swaps, even when the institution is exposed to significant interest rate

Describe the difference between zero coupon bonds and

Describe the difference between zero coupon bonds and coupon bonds. Under what conditions will a coupon bond sell at a p

Compute the present value of an annuity of 880 per year

Compute the present value of an annuity of $ 880 per year for 16 years, given a discount rate of 6 percent per annum. As

Compute the present value of an 1150 payment made in ten

Compute the present value of an $1,150 payment made in ten years when the discount rate is 12 percent. (Do not round int

Compute the present value of an annuity of 699 per year

Compute the present value of an annuity of $ 699 per year for 19 years, given a discount rate of 6 percent per annum. As