Question: Suppose that the probability is 1 in 3,900,000 that a single auto trip in the U.S. would result in the death of the driver. Over a lifetime, an average U.S. driver takes 50,000 trips.
Consider:
a) Probability of surviving 50,000 trips.
b) Probability of fatal accident in 50,000 trips.
c) Why might the assumption of independence be violated?
d) Why might a driver be tempted to not use a seat belt "just on this trip?"