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Suppose a security has a current price of $15.00, and Investor A expects the security price to increase by 10% in one year with 60% probability or decrease by 5% in one year with 40% probability. Investor B agrees with Investor A’s values of the future prices but feels that the likelihood of either future price occurring is 50%. Assuming a 3% annual risk-free rate, what is the price of a one-year call option that has a strike price of $15.00 (assuming the call can only be exercised at maturity) for each of these investors? Do the differing probabilities assigned by these investors affect the price of the call option?

Financial Management, Finance

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