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Question: HIV testing. In July 2005 the journal Annals of Internal Medicine published a report on the reliability of HIV testing. Results of a large study suggested that among people with HIV, 99.7% of tests conducted were (correctly) positive, while for people without HIV 98.5% of the tests were (correctly) negative. A clinic serving an at-risk population offers free HIV testing, believing that 15% of the patients may actually carry HIV. What's the probability that a patient testing negative is truly free of HIV?

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