Problem:

Carlson Inc. is evaluating a project in India that would require a $6.2 million investment today (t = 0). The after-tax cash flows would depend on whether India imposes a new property tax. There is a 50-50 chance that the tax will pass, in which case the project will produce after-tax cash flows of $1,350,000 at the end of each of the next 5 years. If the tax doesn't pass, the after-tax cash flows will be $2,000,000 for 5 years. The project has a WACC of 12.0%. The firm would have the option to abandon the project 1 year from now, and if it is abandoned, the firm would receive the expected $1.35 million cash flow at t = 1 and would also sell the property for $4.75 million at t = 1. If the project is abandoned, the company would receive no further cash inflows from it.

Required:

Question: What is the value (in thousands) of this abandonment option?

A. 104

B. 115

C. 128

D. 141

E. 155

Note: Explain the solution in detail.