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## Statistics

describe expected profit using decision tree:

ING's Consulting Solution division has been loomed by the North Carolina Regional Airport Authority about a difficult problem with overcrowding at the Charlotte airport there are three different options under consideration:

1. The airport could be completely redesigned and rebuilt at a cost of \$8.2M. The present value of amplified revenue from a new airport is in problem. There is a 70% probability that this present value would be \$11.0M, a 20% probability the present value would be \$5.0M, and a 10% probability that the present value would be \$1.0M contingent on whether the new airport is a success a moderate success or a failure.

2. The airport could be remodelled with a new runway for a cost of \$4.7M. The present value of the amplified revenue would be \$6 0M (with a probability of 0.8) or \$3.0M (with a probability of 0.2).

3. They could do nothing with the airport as well as suffer a loss of revenue of either \$1 .OM (65% chance) or \$4.0M (35% chance).

Draw a decision tree as well as select the option that will maximize the present value.

Statistics and Probability, Statistics

• Category:- Statistics and Probability
• Reference No.:- M923455

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