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Econ 310, Spring 2014- Week 4:

Problem 1- Finally, Two-face has Batman in a corner. Now it's time to flip his coin to decide the fate of Batman. To add fun to the gamble, Two-face decides to flip his coin three times. (Suppose his coin his fair.)

1. Define a sample space S and probability measure P representing possible outcomes of the coin flips.

2. Let X denote the number of heads. Define the random variable X as a function from S to {0, 1, 2, 3}.

3. Determine the distribution of X.

4. Compute the expected value, variance, and standard deviation of X.

5. Two-face tells Batman that at least two heads will cost him his life. Batman couter-proposes to make it three. How much will Batman's chances of survival improve if Two-face accepts the proposal?

Problem 2- The table below contains the joint distribution of the random variables RA and RB representing the percentage returns on Acme Inc, and Biloxi Co.

 

RB

0.40

0.00

RA

0.40

½ - ∈

0.00

½ - ∈

1. Find the mean and variance of RA. What about RB?

2. Find the covariance and correlation coefficient between RA and RB.

Let RP = ½ RA + ½ RB represent the return on a 50/50 mix of the two assets.

1. If ∈ = 0, what is the distribution of RP?

2. If ∈ = 0.10, what is the distribution of RP? Compare the answer with the previous question. What are E(RP) and V ar(RP)?

3. Is RP preferable to RA or RB?

4. For any ∈ which is slightly bigger than zero, do you still have the same conclusion as in the last part?

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