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Consider the following scenario analysis:

Rate of Return

Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds

Recession 0.20 -4% 16%

Normal economy 0.50 18  9 

Boom 0.30 29  6 

a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?

  • No
  • Yes

b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.)

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