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After a 2010 NHL play-off win in which Detroit Red Wings wingman Henrik Zetterberg scored two goals in a 3-0 win over the Phoenix Coyotes, Detroit coach Mike Babcock said, "He's been real good at playoff time each and every year. He seems to score at a higher rate." Do the data support this claim? In 506 regular season games, Zetterberg scored 206 goals. In 89 postseason games, he scored 44 goals. Goal scoring can be modeled as a Poisson random process. Assuming a goal-scoring rate of 206 506 goals per game, what is the probability of Zetterberg scoring 44 or more goals in 89 games? How does this probability relate to Coach Babcock's claim?

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