Economic Forecast -
Prepare an economic forecast for Canada covering January - December, 2017.
What do you expect to happen to interest rates and inflation?
What are the prospects for growth in Canada's major economic sectors?
- Manufacturing, real estate, banking, energy, retail, and telecom.
What exchange rate movements are expected?
- Include a discussion of the relationship of inflation with: interest rates; growth in our major sectors; and exchange rates.
What do you expect in the equity and debt markets over the year?
Think about: consumers, producers, government, trade, political factors, ...
Analyse the behaviour of leading indicators.
What important trends seem to be developing?
Maximum 2,200 words (8 - 10 pages, double-spaced), plus any tables.
Present a forecast that could help an investor. Support the forecast with a reasoned argument, backed-up by supporting data. There are no right or wrong answers. Your line of reasoning and a justification for your position are very important. A marking guide will be posted on cuLearn.
Some resources for Forecast Assignment:
Textbook Chapter 15
Major bank economics online. For example:
- www.td.com/economics/analysis
- www.rbc.com/economics
Government of Canada Canadian Economic Outlook
Provincial government economic forecasts
Doing well on the forecasting assignment involves research - in the textbook, in the library, on the internet. Each group is expected to figure things out for themselves, to learn terms, to find appropriate formulas, just as if they were given an assignment in a job or as if they were preparing to make investments of their own.